Maharashtra faces up to 70 percent rainfall deficit as dry spell threatens crops
Several districts across Maharashtra, including parts of Konkan, central Maharashtra, and Marathwada, are facing a severe rainfall deficit ranging from 30% to 70% below the seasonal average since June 1, 2026. The dry spell, driven by a subsided monsoon and a strengthening El Niño condition, has triggered significant concern among local farming communities who rely on July's soil moisture for crucial agricultural operations.
According to meteorological department data, several districts have recorded deficits of 30% to 40%, while some areas are experiencing shortfalls of 50% to 70% relative to expected rainfall. Although parts of Konkan and central Maharashtra recorded precipitation exceeding July's normal during the previous week, the active phase has since subsided.
A meteorological department official explained that the monsoon trough has shifted to a position that does not favour widespread rainfall over the state. The official noted that weather systems required to reinforce the flow are currently inactive.
The dry conditions are expected to persist across the state. Weather forecasts for Monday, July 13, 2026, and Tuesday, July 14, 2026, indicated no weather warnings, with only light to moderate rain expected in isolated pockets.
Climate analysts attribute the situation to the El Niño condition in the Pacific Ocean, which has gained strength over the monsoon season. A climate analyst noted that El Niño typically suppresses monsoon rainfall over the Indian subcontinent, adding that this year's phase appears comparable in intensity to the 2015-16 period, which historically had a major impact on India's monsoon.
The uneven rainfall distribution has caused moisture stress in several regions, particularly in Marathwada and parts of central Maharashtra, even as other areas received excess water. Consequently, temperatures in multiple districts have risen during this break in monsoon activity.
An agriculture extension officer from a deficit district stated that the rising temperatures and dry spell are increasing stress on standing crops. Local farmers are currently waiting for the next spell of rain to decide on their sowing and irrigation schedules.
The meteorological department is currently monitoring the development of low-pressure areas in the Bay of Bengal, which could potentially revive the monsoon and bring rainfall in the subsequent weeks. However, forecasters expect the current dry spell to continue until these systems become active.
